Manager's Pulse: November 21, 2022

Manager's Pulse: November 21, 2022

November 21, 2022
Share |

OVERVIEW:

Most major indexes gave back a portion of the previous week’s gains, closing last week moderately lower. Consumer staples and utilities outperformed most of the other S&P 500 sectors, while energy and consumer discretionary largely underperformed.  Ultimately, the S&P 500 finished the week down -0.61%. The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted further throughout the week, leading the 2-Year/10-Year U.S. Treasury inversion to its deepest level in over 40 years. Ultimately, the 2-Year and 10-Year yields finished the week at 3.82% and 4.51%, respectively. Further evidence of easing inflationary pressures also showed on last week’s Producer Price Index (PPI) reporting, which came in lower than expected at 0.2% vs 0.4%. Lastly, even with more prominent layoff announcements last week, most recently by Amazon.com announcing roughly 10,000 more job cuts, the labor market seems to remain strong. Initial jobless claims decreased by 4,000 to 220k for the week ending November 12th.

     

SPOTLIGHT:

Sustainable investing has witnessed exponential growth over the past few years as investors have increasingly embraced companies that take action to address environmental and social issues. The ESG PLUS models are designed for investors seeking to gain exposure to those types of companies. These models provide access to three separate areas of ESG investing. The first is a Tactical, all-equity, global strategy that focuses on companies that exhibit positive environment, social, and governance characteristics. The second is a Tactical, all-equity strategy that provides exposure to environmental themes including clean technology, energy, and water.

The third is a Strategic fixed income strategy that provides exposure to various areas of the fixed-income market, such as investment grade and high-yield bonds, and asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. By combining these three unique strategies, we are able to offer a full suite of ESG models that range from Aggressive to Conservative. Stocks and bonds remained under pressure in Q3. Many of the same factors (i.e., inflation, rising rates, stronger US Dollar, and more restrictive central banks) are negatively impacting returns for both asset classes. Broad indexes of domestic stocks, bonds, and commodities all lost around -5% in Q3 as the SP 500 fell by -4.88%, the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index declined by -4.8%, and the Bloomberg Commodity Index lost -4.7%. Through Q3, the YTD return on the SP 500 was -23.87% while the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index fell by -14.6%. Through Q3, a traditional 60/40 portfolio was down by -20.6% YTD. Since 1976, only 2008 finished the year worse at -21%. In addition, there had never been three consecutive quarters in which stocks (as measured by the SP 500) and bonds (as measured by the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index) had declined until now.    

DOWNLOAD MANAGER'S PULSE


DISCLOSURE

The information provided herein is the opinion of The Pacific Financial Group, Inc. (“TPFG”) a registered investment adviser, and may change without notice at the discretion of TPFG. Spotlight contains models managed by TPFG and represent TPFG’s opinion and evaluation of its models. All information is believed to be accurate but has not been independently verified and TPFG makes no warranties as to the accuracy of the information or any representations made or implied. The information should not be construed or interpreted as an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell a financial instrument or service. The information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied on or deemed the provision of tax, legal, accounting or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee future results. All investments contain risks to include the total loss of invested principal. Diversification does not protect against the risk of loss. Investors should review all offering documents and disclosures and should consult their tax, legal or financial professional before investing.

The indices are presented as broad-based measures of the equity, fixed-income, and consumer markets. The indices are provided for comparative and illustrative purpose to provide a comparison of the model against the broader-based equity, fixed income, and consumer market.  The indices are not intended to reflect the investment objectives of the model as the securities held within the model will differ in market volatility, concentration, investment objectives, and diversification among others from those of the indices. The indices are not managed, and returns do not reflect the deduction of fees, expenses, transaction costs or taxes that actual client accounts are subject to. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Returns are not annualized for periods less than1 year.

 Trailing Major Index Returns and YTD S&P Sector Returns are sourced from Morningstar Direct.

* Sourced from JPMorgan Asset Management, publicly available at https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/adv/insights/market-insights/market-updates/weekly-market-recap/

 All other economic and market data sources may include, and is not limited to:

Edward Jones, publicly available at https://www.edwardjones.com/us-en/market-news-insights/stock-market-news/stock-marketweekly-update

Goldman Sachs, publicly available at https://www.gsam.com/content/gsam/us/en/advisors/market-insights.html

Rowe Price, publicly available at https://www.troweprice.com/personal-investing/resources/insights/global-markets-weeklyupdate.html